When the national news starts covering card values for a particular player, you know things have gotten nuts. Colin Kaepernick is the manifestation of this unique phenomenon this year, very similar to the way Tim Tebow caught the attention of the world last year. The difference is that unlike Tim Tebow, not only is Kaepernick’s team a legitimate contender to win the super bowl this year, but he is definitely playing out of his mind. As a result, collectors are going crazy, as the NFL playoffs boost value more than any other sport.
Check out these ridiculous sales:
I have said that I dont believe that the read option is a sustainable offensive weapon, because it puts the most important person on the team in ridiculous situations in which they frequently get blown up. RGIII seems to be a bit of a different type of read option QB in that he can also sit in the pocket and throw too. Kaepernick has shown some proficiency in this as well, but can he be effective if there is no run threat like there is with the option style?
Cam Newton set rookie records last year in passing because of the desire to keep defenses on their toes with option style plays. Collectors went similarly crazy until the season ended. After Carolina realized this was high risk and high reward, they changed Newton’s style to a more pocket pass style offense. He basically fell on his face. Remember, this guy BROKE RECORDS, and his cards fell drastically.
If the question is whether or not teams want to win, the answer is obvious. They will stop at nothing – short of injuring their most prize asset like what happened in Washington DC this year. No bueno.
How long before collectors and teams realize that this style of QB is probably going to be much different three years from now. Are you willing to drop the kind of change on guys like RGIII, Kaepernick, Wilson, and company knowing that their lifespan will likely be shorter than that of Luck or guys that use the normal QB philosophy?
Im not buying in on these guys yet. Im just not. I dont see this working out with HOF caliber careers when all is said and done.